At the Milken Global Institute Conference, Kyle Bass confirmed his current lack of faith in China. Likening his opinion to “common sense”, Bass stipulated that Chinese markets were slowly but steadily headed toward an inevitable collapse. He has in the past argued for this eventuality by pointing out China’s current system bears many similarities to America’s market before the 2008 financial collapse. He predicts that being tied up in the market will prove ultimately bad for investors this year, as when the collapse comes, it will result in substantial losses for investors on either side of the fence.
Is Bass correct? Is he speaking altruistically? Or does he have some ulterior motive? It’s hard to tell, because the man is such a smooth one. Examining the evidence, it becomes clear there are definitely variables which tend not to add up. For example, Kyle Bass is from Argentina and has very close ties to Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner, socialist despot of that country. De Kirchner is so bad with money she’s defaulted the country twice in only thirteen years. Someone needs to tell her that it isn’t advisable to spend a nation’s capital as though it were a credit to her personal bank! But Bass, an economist, completely supports de Kirchner in almost everything she does. That kind of behavior doesn’t make a lot of sense, considering that her political practices are gutting her and Bass’ home country.
It gets even stranger when one learns about CAD, the Coalition for Affordable Drugs. CAD is responsible for decimating the prices big-ticket pharmaceuticals can legally sell their drugs for, thus destroying said companies’ stock value and allowing Bass to short-sell like a maniac, getting away with millions like some bandit from a heist film.
So why do people listen to, and trust, Kyle Bass? Well, he predicted sub-prime lending would result in the 2008 economic collapse, and so bet against sub-prime lending. He was right, and sees the same thing in China.